I’ve been saying for the better part of three weeks now that Vegas is eventually going to have to smarten up and start giving the Patriots their due, or Vegas is going to start losing a lot of money (the Pats, after all, are 8-0 against the spread). I’ve been too busy to look at the spreads, and generally hold that kind of thing until Thursday, when I know there’s no serious injuries that have occured, but today I couldn’t resist: I snuck a peak to see what the Colts/Pats spread was.

And what I saw had me half amazed, half not that surprised; the Pats are good, they’ve torn through everyone, and I would almost expect to see them as a favorite playing at Indy.

But 5.5 points?

Can anyone tell me the last time Indianapolis was a 5.5 point underdog?

So I got to researching. I wanted to know the last time the Colts lost at home by more than 5 points. This is what I found: Since 2002, Indianapolis has only lost by more than 5 points on three occasions (the last occasion was to the Chargers in 2005 — before Norv Turner took over).

I was a little shocked at the results — the only game I could remember them losing at home was to Pittsburgh in the AFC Title game, and that was a three-point loss.

I know the Pats have done a lot. But 5.5 points on the road against a team that, should they win this game, could very well go undefeated themselves? There’s a good chance I won’t touch this game.

Of course, I say this on Tuesday.

There’s always Thursday.