Posted by Dave as Mel Kiper's Not Always Right, NFL at 12:08 PM EDT on April 27th, 2007

This one’s gonna run a little differently. For the previous drafts, click here. In the previous “Mel Kiper’s Not Always Right” additions, busts have been pretty clear; this one, it’ll be a little different. I’m going to compare them to their rookie counterparts. With that said, here we go.
-Overhyped
- Vernon Davis, 1st Round (pick 6): He only had 265 yards and 3 touchdowns. As first year tight ends go, that’s not that bad. Especially first year tight ends that have Alex Smith throwing their way.
- Michael Huff, 1st Round (pick 7): He’s hard to put here because he started all 16 games. But he didn’t have a pick and only had 72 tackles. He’s gonna be good, I’m certain, but he was supposed to be one of the best players in that draft and wasn’t.
- Johnathan Joseph, 1st Round (pick 24): He had 58 tackles with no picks. The Bengals were pretty pleased, though; he was only arrested once.
- Haloti Ngata, 1st Round (pick 11): He had 31 tackles and one sack. I think he’ll be good in that defense, but he didn’t look like a top 15 talent last year (but his hair did).
-Underhyped
- Donte Whitner, 1st Round (pick 8): He was drafted high, which makes him hard to be underhyped, but when Buffalo made this pick, everyone around the NFL had a collective head scratching. He turned out okay, though: He had 105 tackles and an interception.
- Ernie Sims, 1st Round (pick 9): Maybe Matt Millen should take this as an indication that there are other good players that don’t play wide receiver. Sims was second on the team with 124 tackles on the year.
- Kamerion Wimbley, 1st Round (pick 13): I figured the Browns picked another dud when this guy came off the board. A year later, he’s got 11.5 sacks.
- Tamba Hali, 1st Round (pick 20): He had 8 sacks, which is pretty good. It’s especially good when considering a defensive end who was drafted before him, whom we’ll get to shortly.
- Joseph Addai, 1st Round (pick 30): He had a better year than Edge did, and he won a Super Bowl.
-Steals
- DeMeco Ryans, 2nd Round (pick 33): Rookie of the year, and one of the few bright spots for the Texans last year. He had 156 tackles, 3.5 sacks and one interception. If only their only their other picked lived up to such promise.
- Devin Hester, 2nd Round (pick 57): This one’s kinda obvious. He’ll probably never be a legitimate DB in this league, but he’ll be a guy who’s a constant threat to return punts and kicks every game he’s in.
- Maurice Jones-Drew, 2nd Round (pick 60): He averaged 5.7 yards per carry, and now the Jags can finally not worry about Fred Taylor getting injured every time he’s tackled. . . or slightly shoved out of bounds.
- Jerious Norwood, 3rd Round (pick 79): He only had 633 yards, but also only had 99 carries. He’s one of the fastest guys in the league, and if he gets the chance to be an every down back, he’ll be awful good.
-Busts
- Mario Williams, 1st Round (pick 1): He had 4.5 sacks, which isn’t that bad for a rookie. But it is bad for a rookie who was chosen before Reggie Bush, Vince Young, Matt Leinart, and pretty much anyone else taken in the first round.
- Brodrick Bunkley, 1st Round (pick 14): I loved this guy at FSU, but he hasn’t been so hot in the league. Nine tackles isn’t exactly a great start, especially when the team you’re playing for (the Eagles) were slim on the defensive line due to injuries.
- Jason Alen, 1st Round (pick 16): Nick Saban drafted this guy because he played against him. He was projected to start, and ended the year with only 20 tackles.