Last week was a decent week. My last three weeks have been pretty solid after a horrible first three weeks of the season (like I said at the beginning: It takes the first few weeks to find out who’s really good and who really isn’t). Here’s how I’m doing, and my picks for this week.

Last Week: 8-5
On the Season: 40-46, and climbing each week
Locks of the Week: 4-2

Tennessee Titans (-9) @ Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs have no QB, and if they think they’ll run against that defense, they’re only fooling themselves. I hate to take 9 points on the road, but I’ll take it when it’s a team that’s 5-0 against the spread this year. Titans roll, cover.

San Diego Chargers (PICK ‘EM) @ Buffalo Bills: I haven’t been that impressed with the Bills. That said, if I bet on the Cargers, the blow, and if I bet against ‘em, they blow up. I’m hoping they blow up and go against the curse. Chargers cover.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-9.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals: Read about the Titans here. And while I think the Steelers will give up a decent amount of points, I think their offense will score at will. Take the Steelers, they cover by 10.

Baltimore Ravens (+3) @ Miami Dolphins: It’s a game I wouldn’t bet. But if I had to, I’d take the Ravens in a bounce back game.

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears (-3): The Bears did well against the best rushing team in the league. And if the Vikes can’t rush, the Vikes can’t play. Take the Bears by a TD, and hope they don’t squib kick it aftewards. . .

New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers (-3): I’ve never seen a three win team like the Saints so highly praised. Carolina’s back home, and they’re not playing Tampa’s rush defense. That said: Pantehrs cover.

SF 49′ers @ New York Giants (-9): The Giants had a blip on the radar last week. I think being at home and playing that awful SF defense will help them bounce back.

Detroit Lions @ Houston Texans (-9.5): I’ve never seen a week with so many high spreads. Last week was nice for the Lions, being competitive and all, but I think they fall off of that competitive streak this week. Texans blow this one out, start talking playoffs in Houston.

Cleveland Browns (+7.5) @ Washington Redskins: If I pick against the Redskins, they cover. If I bet them, they don’t. So whatever I say, go against it. Browns cover.

Indianapolis Colts (-1) @ Green Bay Packers: The Green Bay defense has been battered up and down this year. So it doesn’t bode well that they’re playing a team that just made the No. 1 defense in the NFL look like the defense at Texas Tech. Colts cover, roll in this one.

Seattle Seahawks @ Tampa Bay Bucs (-10): I’ll never take the Seahawks again when the spread is high. This team is just bad.

Denver Broncos (+3) @ New England Patriots: I almost love this one enough to make it my Lock of the Week. Denver will score at will, and New England’s offense is done. Broncos win by 50.

Lock of the week

New York Jets (-3) @ Oakland Raiders: Things weren’t great when Lane Kiffin was here. And now they’re worse. Don’t be shocked to see them lose this one by four touchdowns again. Jets win 217-0, DeAngelo Hall gets burnt 34 times.