Posted by Dave as Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Cincinatti Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Mel Kiper's Not Always Right, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, NFL, NFL Spreads, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, New York Jets, Oakland Raiders, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis Rams, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee Titans, Washington Redskins at 6:03 PM EDT on October 9th, 2008
Last Week: 8-6
On the Season: 32-41 (But I’m 16-11 over the last two weeks; I’m getting back up there)
Locks of the Week: 4-1
This week’s games:
Oakland Raiders @ New Orleans Saints (-7): The Saints were moving the ball up and down the field against Minnesota, and they’ve got a much better defense. Come to think of it, they’ve also got a better offense. Oakland is coming off the Lane Kiffin fiasco, and something tells me this team will be lost on the field. Saints have no D, but ride the Reggie Bush high for now. New O’leans covers.
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts (-4): I think last week was the coming out party for the Colts. This game worries me. I wouldn’t bet it if I didn’t have to. But if you do, take Indy at home.
Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets (-5.5): Bravo to Carson Palmer and the Bengals, who have kept these games close. But with a week off to rest, take the Jets to win by a TD.
Carolina Panters @ Tampa Bay Bucs (-1): The Panthers have been good because they’ve really been able to run the ball. Guess what? Tampa Bay doesn’t really let people run the ball. Jeff Garcia is back in, but who really thinks Brian Griese is the better guy to go with? I love this pick. Bucs cover, win by 10.
Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (-13): The Lions have been outscored 86-0 in all of their games before they ever get their first touchdown. That’s a bad stat, unless you’re a gambler and you’re going against them. Vikes cover.
Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons (+4): I hate this game. Really, really do. The Falcons are that team you’re never going to get a read on. But every game they’ve been at home they’ve covered. And on the year they’re 3-2 against the spread. I like the points at home. Take the Falcons.
Miami Dolphins (+3) @ Houston Texans: Last week was probably rock bottom. Rebounding will be hard. Take the team on the roll. Time for more of the Wildcat Formation. Ronnie Brown, Dolphins run all over Houston.
St. Louis Rams @ Washington Redskins (-13): You fire your coach and replace him with the defensive coordinator that hasn’t stopped an offense he’s played all year? Odd choice. ‘Skins have surprised me. And I’m tired of betting against them and losing. Washington covers.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos (-3): If the Jags can’t run, they can’t win. And this year, they aren’t able to play defense, either. Ben Roethlisberger threw all over this team. What do you think Denver’s going to do? This should be easy: Take the Broncos.
Philadelphia Eagles (-4) @ San Francisco 49′ers: It’s bounce back week for the Eagles.
Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals (+5): Too many points at home. And has anyone really thought the ‘Boys look like a Championship team right now? Too many close calls, and Tony Romo has often looked lost back in the pocket.
New England Patriots (+5) @ San Diego Chargers: The Chargers just burn me way too much when I bet on them.
Lock of the Week:
New York Giants (-8) @ Cleveland Browns: The Giants have been way too good against bad defenses. And their defense, without Usi and Michael, hasn’t missed a beat, and may have somehow gotten better. The road doesn’t get any easier for Romeo Crennel. Giants win, 3,217-3.