BustedPlay

Last week I had three Locks of the Week, and all three, if you’ll look, hit. This week I don’t see that good of action. Here’s how I’m doing.

Last Week: 7-8
On the Season:76-79
Locks of the Week: 9-3

This week’s games:

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-11.5): They’re not gonna have Chad Ocho Cinco. They don’t have Carson Palmer. The tie against Philly was nice. This one won’t need overtime. Steelers romp.

Houston Texans (+3) @ Cleveland Browns: Brady Quinn used to really struggle in college when he faced a pass rush. Guess what: Mario Williams gives you that pass rush.

Buffalo Bills (-3) @ KC Chiefs: Beginning of the year, this would be a lock. Now it’s a game I wouldn’t touch. For all intents and purposes, I’ll give you my winner: Buffalo.

New York Jets (+5) @ Tennessee Titans: Every time I bet the Jets, they burn me. When I bet against them — see: last week — they burn me. I don’t think they’ll end the winning streak. But I do think they’ll cover. Take the Jets.

SF 49′ers (+10) @ Dallas Cowboys: The Niners are actually looking like a professional football team again. Tony Romo’s pinky doesn’t have him playing too impressively. One week after jumping on the Dallas bandwagon and claiming them a lock, I’m jumping off. Niners don’t win, but they cover the double digits.

Tampa Bay Bucs (-7.5) @ Detroit Lions: The Lions covered last week, just barely. Now they’re playing a team that has a nasty defense, which should turn Daunte Culpepper into the guy we all saw retire.

Philadelphia Eagles (+1) @ Baltimore Ravens: If the Eagles don’t win this one, go ahead and count them as done. A rule of thumb: Bet on the team that’s more desperate.

Chicago Bears (-7.5) @ St. Louis Rams: I’m not calling this a lock, but anyone that bets on St. Louis the rest of the season is a complete idiot. Bet against them and lose before you bet on them and lose. You’ll probably have more favorable outcomes.

Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars: The Jags just aren’t that good. And the Williams brothers will play at least another week.

Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos (-9): The Broncos beat the Raiders in Oakland really, really badly at the beginning of the season. Denver isn’t a juggernaught, but you don’t need to be against this team. Watch Oakland’s awful offense make Denver’s awful defense look awful great.

Washington Redskins @ Seattle Seahawks (+4): Jim Zorn, get ready to hear some criticism.

Indianapolis Colts @ San Diego Chargers (-2.5): The Chargers just have a way of giving Peyton fits. I’ve lost too many times betting the Colts in this game. I’m going the other way on this one.

Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints (-2.5): Don’t bet against the Saints at home. They’ll burn you every time.

Locks of the Week:

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons (-1): I know, I know. Falcons are young, blew one they should’ve won, yadda-yadda-yadda. I watch both of these teams ALL the time. Trust me: Falcons cover, win 31-17.

New York Giants (-3) @ Arizona Cardinals: If Brandon Jacobs doesn’t play, I’m worried. If he does, bet a grand on this.

New England Patriots (PICK ‘EM) @ Miami Dolphins: That first game was an abberation. This game you’ll see the complete opposite. Matt Cassel, Pats lock it up.

Here’s the latest of how your team’s doing against the spread. The Titans and Giants, while both boasting an impressive overall record, are also doing well against the spread, the Titans at 9-1, the Giants at 8-2. There’s some other notable teams to bet on, and many to avoid. Enjoy below.

New York Giants: 8-2
Washington Redskins: 5-5
Indianapolis: 4-6
Chicago: 4-5-1
Arizona: 7-3
SF: 4-6
Carolina: 5-4-1
SD: 4-6
Dallas: 4-6
Cleveland: 6-4
Jacksonville: 3-7
Tennessee: 9-1
Tampa Bay: 7-3
New Orleans: 5-4
Kansas City: 5-5
New England: 6-4
NYJ: 5-5
Miami: 4-6
Seattle: 3-7
Buffalo: 4-6
Detroit: 4-6
Atlanta: 6-4
Cincinnati: 4-6
Baltimore: 7-3
Houston: 4-6
Pittsburgh: 4-6
St. Louis: 3-7
Philadelphia: 6-4
Denver Broncos: 5-5
Green Bay: 7-3
Minnesota: 3-6
Oakland: 3-7

Below is the list of every team in the NFL, and how they’re doing against the spread. After my 8-5 record against the spread last week, I’m 48-51 this year, but I’m 32-21 over the last four weeks after my miserable start.

You can see the complete list of how each team is doing, but at first glance there are some teams you probably want to bet on — Giants, Bears, Cardinals, Panthers, Falcons, Bucs, Titans, Bills and, believe it or not, the Browns — and teams you definitely don’t want to bet on: Niners, Cowboys, Jags, Seahawks, Bengals, and Raiders (even though I picked the Jets as my Lock of the Week, and Brett Favre’s interception-throwing-ass choked big time against Oakland).

There are no winless teams against the spread — the Seahawks are the closest at 1-5 against the line — but there is one undefeated team: The mighty Titans, who some say are 5-0-1, but the line against Baltimore closed at -2, and they won it by a field goal. Enjoy the look. Check back next week for updates, and Thursday night for this week’s picks.

New York Giants: 4-2
Washington Redskins: 4-3
Indianapolis: 3-3
Chicago: 4-2-1
Arizona: 4-2
SF: 2-5
Carolina: 4-2-1
SD: 3-4
Dallas: 2-5
Cleveland: 4-2
Jacksonville: 2-4
Tennessee: 6-0
Tampa Bay: 6-1
New Orleans: 3-3
Kansas City: 2-4
New England: 3-3
NYJ: 3-3
Miami: 2-4
Seattle: 1-5
Buffalo: 4-2
Detroit: 2-4
Atlanta: 4-2
Cincinnati: 2-5
Baltimore: 4-2
Houston: 2-4
Pittsburgh: 3-3
St. Louis: 2-4
Philadelphia: 4-2
Denver Broncos: 3-4
Green Bay: 4-3
Minnesota: 2-4
Oakland: 2-4

Last week was a decent week. My last three weeks have been pretty solid after a horrible first three weeks of the season (like I said at the beginning: It takes the first few weeks to find out who’s really good and who really isn’t). Here’s how I’m doing, and my picks for this week.

Last Week: 8-5
On the Season: 40-46, and climbing each week
Locks of the Week: 4-2

Tennessee Titans (-9) @ Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs have no QB, and if they think they’ll run against that defense, they’re only fooling themselves. I hate to take 9 points on the road, but I’ll take it when it’s a team that’s 5-0 against the spread this year. Titans roll, cover.

San Diego Chargers (PICK ‘EM) @ Buffalo Bills: I haven’t been that impressed with the Bills. That said, if I bet on the Cargers, the blow, and if I bet against ‘em, they blow up. I’m hoping they blow up and go against the curse. Chargers cover.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-9.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals: Read about the Titans here. And while I think the Steelers will give up a decent amount of points, I think their offense will score at will. Take the Steelers, they cover by 10.

Baltimore Ravens (+3) @ Miami Dolphins: It’s a game I wouldn’t bet. But if I had to, I’d take the Ravens in a bounce back game.

Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears (-3): The Bears did well against the best rushing team in the league. And if the Vikes can’t rush, the Vikes can’t play. Take the Bears by a TD, and hope they don’t squib kick it aftewards. . .

New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers (-3): I’ve never seen a three win team like the Saints so highly praised. Carolina’s back home, and they’re not playing Tampa’s rush defense. That said: Pantehrs cover.

SF 49′ers @ New York Giants (-9): The Giants had a blip on the radar last week. I think being at home and playing that awful SF defense will help them bounce back.

Detroit Lions @ Houston Texans (-9.5): I’ve never seen a week with so many high spreads. Last week was nice for the Lions, being competitive and all, but I think they fall off of that competitive streak this week. Texans blow this one out, start talking playoffs in Houston.

Cleveland Browns (+7.5) @ Washington Redskins: If I pick against the Redskins, they cover. If I bet them, they don’t. So whatever I say, go against it. Browns cover.

Indianapolis Colts (-1) @ Green Bay Packers: The Green Bay defense has been battered up and down this year. So it doesn’t bode well that they’re playing a team that just made the No. 1 defense in the NFL look like the defense at Texas Tech. Colts cover, roll in this one.

Seattle Seahawks @ Tampa Bay Bucs (-10): I’ll never take the Seahawks again when the spread is high. This team is just bad.

Denver Broncos (+3) @ New England Patriots: I almost love this one enough to make it my Lock of the Week. Denver will score at will, and New England’s offense is done. Broncos win by 50.

Lock of the week

New York Jets (-3) @ Oakland Raiders: Things weren’t great when Lane Kiffin was here. And now they’re worse. Don’t be shocked to see them lose this one by four touchdowns again. Jets win 217-0, DeAngelo Hall gets burnt 34 times.

Last Week: 8-6
On the Season: 32-41 (But I’m 16-11 over the last two weeks; I’m getting back up there)
Locks of the Week: 4-1

This week’s games:

Oakland Raiders @ New Orleans Saints (-7): The Saints were moving the ball up and down the field against Minnesota, and they’ve got a much better defense. Come to think of it, they’ve also got a better offense. Oakland is coming off the Lane Kiffin fiasco, and something tells me this team will be lost on the field. Saints have no D, but ride the Reggie Bush high for now. New O’leans covers.

Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts (-4): I think last week was the coming out party for the Colts. This game worries me. I wouldn’t bet it if I didn’t have to. But if you do, take Indy at home.

Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets (-5.5): Bravo to Carson Palmer and the Bengals, who have kept these games close. But with a week off to rest, take the Jets to win by a TD.

Carolina Panters @ Tampa Bay Bucs (-1): The Panthers have been good because they’ve really been able to run the ball. Guess what? Tampa Bay doesn’t really let people run the ball. Jeff Garcia is back in, but who really thinks Brian Griese is the better guy to go with? I love this pick. Bucs cover, win by 10.

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (-13): The Lions have been outscored 86-0 in all of their games before they ever get their first touchdown. That’s a bad stat, unless you’re a gambler and you’re going against them. Vikes cover.

Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons (+4): I hate this game. Really, really do. The Falcons are that team you’re never going to get a read on. But every game they’ve been at home they’ve covered. And on the year they’re 3-2 against the spread. I like the points at home. Take the Falcons.

Miami Dolphins (+3) @ Houston Texans: Last week was probably rock bottom. Rebounding will be hard. Take the team on the roll. Time for more of the Wildcat Formation. Ronnie Brown, Dolphins run all over Houston.

St. Louis Rams @ Washington Redskins (-13): You fire your coach and replace him with the defensive coordinator that hasn’t stopped an offense he’s played all year? Odd choice. ‘Skins have surprised me. And I’m tired of betting against them and losing. Washington covers.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos (-3): If the Jags can’t run, they can’t win. And this year, they aren’t able to play defense, either. Ben Roethlisberger threw all over this team. What do you think Denver’s going to do? This should be easy: Take the Broncos.

Philadelphia Eagles (-4) @ San Francisco 49′ers: It’s bounce back week for the Eagles.

Dallas Cowboys @ Arizona Cardinals (+5): Too many points at home. And has anyone really thought the ‘Boys look like a Championship team right now? Too many close calls, and Tony Romo has often looked lost back in the pocket.

New England Patriots (+5) @ San Diego Chargers: The Chargers just burn me way too much when I bet on them.

Lock of the Week:

New York Giants (-8) @ Cleveland Browns: The Giants have been way too good against bad defenses. And their defense, without Usi and Michael, hasn’t missed a beat, and may have somehow gotten better. The road doesn’t get any easier for Romeo Crennel. Giants win, 3,217-3.

Here’s a list after Week 5 of who’s doing what. The Vikes and Saints are still set to play tonight, so their game isn’t included in here. That said, the rankings are below. If you’re looking to just play the numbers, next week’s strong horses would be Washington, New York, Tennessee, Chicago and Baltimore. Teams to avoid: St. Louis, Detroit and, surprsingly, Dallas. Below is all 32 teams and how they rank at covering the spread.

New York Giants: 3-1
Washington Redskins: 4-1
Indianapolis: 2-2
Chicago: 3-1-1
Arizona: 3-2
SF: 2-3
Carolina: 3-1-1
SD: 2-3
Dallas: 2-3
Cleveland: 2-2
Jacksonville: 1-4
Tennessee: 5-0
Tampa Bay: 4-1
New Orleans: 2-2
Kansas City: 2-3
New England: 2-2
NYJ: 2-2
Miami: 2-2
Seattle: 1-3
Buffalo: 3-2
Detroit: 0-4
Atlanta: 3-2
Cincinnati: 2-3
Baltimore: 3-1
Houston: 1-3
Pittsburgh: 2-3
St. Louis: 0-4
Philadelphia: 3-2
Denver Broncos: 3-2
Green Bay: 2-3
Minnesota: 2-2
Oakland: 1-3

I’ve been on business all week, which would explain the lack of posts. So we’ll pick up this week where last week left off: With my picks, which are getting better (as if they could get worse). Here’s how I’m doing against the spread:

Last Week: 8-5
On the Season: 24-35
Locks of the Week: 3-1

This week’s games:

Indianapolis Colts (-3) @ Houston Texans: The Colts had a week off. The Texans have been incredibly disappointing. If the Colts lose this one, they’re in trouble. When was the last time you saw Peyton Manning 1-3? His rookie year. It won’t happen again. Colts win, cover.

San Diego Chargers (-6) @ Miami Dolphins: Can the Wild Hog formation work again? Me thinks no. It’s a bit high, but take the Chargers.

KC Chiefs @ Carolina Panthers (-9): How KC won last week is something I”m still scratching my head over. Again: Another high spread. I hate betting against these high spreads. But who’s got hte balls to bet on Damon Huard and that awful offense? Go with what’s logical, take the Panthers.

Washington Redskins @ Philadelphia Eagles (-5): For whatever reason, I just can’t wrap my head around the fact that Washington’s any good. Beating Dallas on the road should be reason enough to do the same to Philly, but I don’t like it. Take the Eagles, who are close to unstoppable at home.

Chicago Bears (-3.5) @ Detroit Lions: Pop quiz: Who’s the only team that hasn’t covered yet? Yes, it’s the Lions. And worst of all, they’ve been down by 18 points or more before they ever get on the board. Bears roll.

Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers (-3): I’d love Atlanta to win it, but like I said last week: This team just can’t play on the road. Packers win.

Seattle Seahawks (+7) @ New York Giants: New York wins, but take the touchdown. Seattle covers.

Tampa Bay Bucs (+3) @ Denver Broncos: I think the Broncos are going to find it’s hard to win games if they can’t stop the run or pass. And the defense they’re playing this week is pretty damn good.

New England Patriots (-3) @ San Francisco 49′ers: Do you want to bet against Belichick with two weeks to prepare? Me neither. Take the Pats in a bounce back game.

Buffalo Bills @ Arizona Cardinals (-1): The Cards have looked rough on teh road, but theyu’ve looked pretty solid at home. Buffalo’s been a nice story, but they suffer their first loss in this one.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Dallas Cowboys (-16): Watching this Cincinnati team is like watching Wile E. Coyote take that first step off the cliff. Oops! ‘Boys win, 217-3.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-4): The Steelers can’t stop the run and they can’t block. Not good when you’re playing a good D-line and a good running game. Last year the Jags had their number. This year I don’t think it’ll be much different. Take the Jags to cover the four.

Minnesota Vikings (+3) @ New Orleans Saints: The Saints are starting to click, but I just don’t see that bad front seven able to stop AP & Co.

Lock of the Week:

Tennessee Titans (-3) @ Baltimore Ravens: Pop quiz: Who’s the only team in the NFL that has covered the spread every week? If you guessed the team I’m taking here, you’re right. This one scares me, but stats don’t lie. Titans roll.


So two out of the three weeks I’ve done terrible. Terrible with a capital T and each syllable really enunciated. Terr-I-Ble. That’s how I’ve been. Last year I started rough Week 1 and Week 2. That’s normal. Week 3, things are supposed to come together. This week I’ve got math on my side. I won’t reveal the secret, but I can promise 60% winners this week.

Last week: 4-12
On the Season: 16-30
Locks of the Week: 2-1

Denver Broncos (-10) @ Kansas City Chiefs: The Broncos offense is on point. And even though their defense isn’t really worth much, it should be alright against Tyler Thigpen or Damon Huard and the Chiefs. Denver covers.

Cleveland Browns (+3.5) @ Cincinnati Bengals: You never bet good money on bad teams. That said, I’ll take the points and the ‘dog. Browns cover, get their first win.

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-6): Maybe Jacksonville is finally getting something going. Houston has looked lost, and Matt Schaub may be just a few games away from being benched.

Arizona Cardinals @ New York Jets (-1.5): I heard some crazy stat about the Cardinals and what happens to this team when they play out east. I don’t remember the exact stat, but it was really bad, and it showed up last week against Washington. This Jets team isn’t very good, but I’ll take the past and bet on it. Favre, Jets win, cover.

San Francisco 49′ers @ New Orleans Saints (-5.5): The Saints lost two games against good opponents on the road. I think the trip back home will do them well. Saints cover.

Minnesota Vikings @ Tennessee Titans (-3): The Titans haven’t lost against the spread yet. That said, I won’t bet against them until they do. Take Tennessee to cover.

Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1): The Packers offense struggled against that Dallas D, which isn’t much of a D. Tampa Bay threw the ball 67 times last week, but that won’t happen again. If you lose this game, take your hat off to Rodgers. But you won’t. Lock it up: Bucs win.

Buffalo Bills (-8) @ St. Louis Rams: So, the plan to salvage the Rams season is to start Trent Green? This should be fun. The spread could be 800. Bills cover.

San Diego Chargers (-8) @ Oakland Raiders: The Raiders have looked good against KC and Buffalo. They looked terrible against Denver, who passes. Guess what San Diego’s been doing? Chargers cover, win by 10.

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys (-11): I saw Washington’s first road game. Sure, they’ve good at home. Let’s see what they do in Dallas. Me thinks it’ll be a blowout. ‘Boys cover.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) @ Chicago Bears: Well, at least Chicago had that good win against Indy the first game. I think that’ll be a distant memory, and it shouldn’t be long until Sexy Rexy’s back.

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-5): I’d say Pittsburgh covering would be the lock of the week, but. .

-Lock of the Week:

Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers (-6): I love the Falcons. I do. And I won’t bet against them. But since you probably don’t have the same ties and love, rip every dime out of your savings account and bet this one big. Panthers cover, win by 17.

Below is a list of all teams in the NFL, and how they’re doing against the spread. Some notables to pay attention to.

Tennessee Titans: They’re 3-0 against the spread, and they’ve been covering pretty handily. It’s not as if it’s a squeaker in the fourth. It’s one of those games you’ve got that idea you’ve won by halftime. Always a nice feeling with money on the line.

Philadelphia Eagles: Also 3-0, the Eagles haven’t had many scares against the spread. They blew St. Louis out before the opening coin flip, were up two touchdowns against Dallas when they were a touchdown dog, and handled Pittsburgh all four quarters of their game on Sunday.

St. Louis Rams: Last year, it was fun watching the spread climb each week when the Patriots played. They started as 7 point favorites, then went to 12 point favorites, and before you knew it they were a 17-24 point favorite every week. At 0-3 against the spread and not looking like a safe bet, it’s just a matter of time before St. Louis is a 15+ point dog every week, especially now that Trent Green’s the starter.

Detroit Lions: Little Ford Jr. even wants Matt Millen gone. At what point will the Lions come to their senses and get rid of this guy? His team can’t stop the run, can’t stop the pass, can’t score, and can’t manage to not throw interceptions. They were down 21-0, 21-0, and then 21-3 in their first three games. Makes it hard to fight back and cover when you get down that deep.

The rest:

New York Giants: 2-1
Washington Redskins: 2-1
Indianapolis: 1-2
Chicago: 1-1-1
Arizona: 2-1
SF: 2-1
Carolina: 1-1-1
SD: 1-2
Dallas: 2-1
Cleveland: 1-2
Jacksonville: 1-2
Tennessee: 3-0
Tampa Bay: 2-1
New Orleans: 1-2
Kansas City: 1-2
New England: 1-2
NYJ: 1-2
Miami: 1-2
Seattle: 1-2
Buffalo: 2-1
Detroit: 0-3
Atlanta: 2-1
Cincinnati: 1-2
Baltimore: 2-0
Houston: 0-2
Pittsburgh: 1-2
St. Louis: 0-3
Philadelphia: 3-0


After a horrible first week, I finished at 8-7 last week. There’s a trend in betting the unpredictable year-to-year NFL teams: Week 1 is always miserable, Week 2 is a little better, Week 3 is a little better than that, and after Week 4 you hit your stride. I’m not saying this week will be my stride week; but I’ll finish over .500, and from here on out I’ll hit 10 games a week. Here’s how I’m doing.

PS: One thing that should be noted is that my Locks of the Week are now 2-0. Nobody bets every game in the NFL; if you take my lock, you’ll win.

Last week: 8-7
On the Season: 12-18
Locks of the Week: 2-0

Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons (-6): It’s tough to bet on a rookie QB when you’re giving up six points. But it’s even tougher to bet on a QB on the road named Tyler Thigpen. This’ll be the last time in a year the Falcons will be favored by a TD (minus the extra). They won’t run like they did against the Lions, but the home field should help. Falcons cover, win by seven.

Oakland Raiders @ Buffalo Bills (-9.5): Last week we got to see the Darren McFadden Show. The problem is that they played the Chiefs, who have a team full of rookies. The Bills defense has been good. Real good. If they can stop the Jags running game, stopping D-Fad shouldn’t be a problem. 9.5 is high. Real high. But JaMarcus Russell’s 5-17 completion to attempts last week will look good after this one. Take the Bills to cover, when by two TD’s.

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans (-5): Kerry Collins was announced the starter over Vince Young this week, which led to a three day drinking binge. Thankfully, the Titans play defense and the Texans don’t play offense. I’m feeling something like 17-7. For those that need help, that’s 10 points. Titans cover, but jump on the under at 39.

Cincinnati Bengals @ NY Giants (-13): The Bengals look like that team of individuals that never plays as a team. Marvin’s gone after this year, Chad Johnson will be traded, Carson Palmer will find a new home, and the Bengals will start over. I’m getting somewhere: Take the Giants.

Arizona Cardinals (+3) @ Washington Redskins: Kurt Warner is looking like he did when he was slinging it in Mike Martz’s system. Washington looks as good as it did since Jim Zorn took over. That came out wrong. Beating New Orleans last week was nice. But the Cardinals are looking legitimate for the time in a decade. The points are nice, but ‘Zona wins straight up.

Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-12): Even with Matt Cassel, do you want to bet against this team? If they can go to New York and win, they can win by two TD’s against the Dolphins. Ted Ginn, welcome to short-throw life with Chad Pennington.

Carolina Panthers (+3.5) @ Minnesota Vikings: Adrian Peterson is out. Steve Smith is back. One team’s 2-0, the other is 0-2. Something just doesn’t add up. I like the Vikes, too. But take the Panthers in this one.

St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (-9): What do you do when you’ve got no receivers and your team is struggling? You schedule the Rams, just in the knick of time. ‘Hawks suck. But the Rams really are that bad. Seattle covers.

Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49′ers (-4): You see the Lions offense and you want to bet on ‘em. Then you see John Kitna and his inability to not throw a thousand picks, and you kick back to your senses. Do I see another 21-0 deficit before the offense kicks in gear? I do. Niners cover.

New Orleans Saints @ Denver Broncos (-5): The Broncos are on pace to beat the Patriots scoring record from last season. We all know that won’t happen, but we’ll still be talking about that offense after Week 3. The Saints couldn’t stop Washington, who looked like that high school team coming together for the first time the week before when they played the Giants. This game has Lock of the Week written all over it, only there’s one more out there that’s better. Take the Broncos to win. Parlay it with the over, and you’ll be real happy.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+4) @ Philadelphia Eagles: I like the Eagles. They’re good. They’ve got a wide receiver that drops balls before he reaches the end zone and a running back that does everything by himself. On the other side, four points to Pittsburgh, who might be the best team in the AFC, is an awful lot. Newsflash, Philly: This defense is better than Dallas. You won’t see 80 points in this one, but you’ll see the Steelers cover.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts (-5): The Jags have never really been able to beat the Colts, and that’s when they’ve been good. Their run game stinks, their pass game is non-existent, and their offensive line continues to get hurt. If the Colts jump up early, Garrard is forced to throw against a cut throat defensive line. Me thinks last week will spark something for Peyton. Me thinks that’s really, really bad for Jacksonville. I never thought this team would start 0-3, but I just don’t see things looking up anytime soon.

Cleveland Browns (+2) @ Baltimore Ravens: Don’t jump the Ravens’ sack just because they shut down the Bengals. We’re seeing little by little that a lot of teams can do that. Cleveland’s in a hole, but they’ve played two of the best teams in football. Browns cover.

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers (+3): Three points when they’re playing at home? This has M-O-N-E-Y written all over it. It’s a Sunday Night game, and we all know how Romo does on national television. Packers win.

New York Jets (+9) @ San Diego Chargers: I’ve got no confidence in either of these teams, but the Chargers have burnt me two weeks in a row. Take the Jets.

-Lock of the Week
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Chicago Bears (-3): The Bears D is looking great. The Bucs have Brian Griese. Let’s put two and two together. Bears win 24-0.

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