Posted by Dave as Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Cincinatti Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, NFL, NFL Spreads, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, New York Jets, Oakland Raiders, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis Rams, Super Bowl Matchups, Superbowl Quarterbacks, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee Titans, Washington Redskins at 6:53 PM CDT on October 21st, 2008
Below is the list of every team in the NFL, and how they’re doing against the spread. After my 8-5 record against the spread last week, I’m 48-51 this year, but I’m 32-21 over the last four weeks after my miserable start.
You can see the complete list of how each team is doing, but at first glance there are some teams you probably want to bet on — Giants, Bears, Cardinals, Panthers, Falcons, Bucs, Titans, Bills and, believe it or not, the Browns — and teams you definitely don’t want to bet on: Niners, Cowboys, Jags, Seahawks, Bengals, and Raiders (even though I picked the Jets as my Lock of the Week, and Brett Favre’s interception-throwing-ass choked big time against Oakland).
There are no winless teams against the spread — the Seahawks are the closest at 1-5 against the line — but there is one undefeated team: The mighty Titans, who some say are 5-0-1, but the line against Baltimore closed at -2, and they won it by a field goal. Enjoy the look. Check back next week for updates, and Thursday night for this week’s picks.
New York Giants: 4-2
Washington Redskins: 4-3
Indianapolis: 3-3
Chicago: 4-2-1
Arizona: 4-2
SF: 2-5
Carolina: 4-2-1
SD: 3-4
Dallas: 2-5
Cleveland: 4-2
Jacksonville: 2-4
Tennessee: 6-0
Tampa Bay: 6-1
New Orleans: 3-3
Kansas City: 2-4
New England: 3-3
NYJ: 3-3
Miami: 2-4
Seattle: 1-5
Buffalo: 4-2
Detroit: 2-4
Atlanta: 4-2
Cincinnati: 2-5
Baltimore: 4-2
Houston: 2-4
Pittsburgh: 3-3
St. Louis: 2-4
Philadelphia: 4-2
Denver Broncos: 3-4
Green Bay: 4-3
Minnesota: 2-4
Oakland: 2-4
Posted by Dave as Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, Cincinatti Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, NFL Spreads, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, New York Jets, Oakland Raiders, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Steelers, San Diego Chargers, San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks, St. Louis Rams, Superbowl Quarterbacks, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tennessee Titans, Washington Redskins at 8:38 PM CDT on September 18th, 2008

After a horrible first week, I finished at 8-7 last week. There’s a trend in betting the unpredictable year-to-year NFL teams: Week 1 is always miserable, Week 2 is a little better, Week 3 is a little better than that, and after Week 4 you hit your stride. I’m not saying this week will be my stride week; but I’ll finish over .500, and from here on out I’ll hit 10 games a week. Here’s how I’m doing.
PS: One thing that should be noted is that my Locks of the Week are now 2-0. Nobody bets every game in the NFL; if you take my lock, you’ll win.
Last week: 8-7
On the Season: 12-18
Locks of the Week: 2-0
Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons (-6): It’s tough to bet on a rookie QB when you’re giving up six points. But it’s even tougher to bet on a QB on the road named Tyler Thigpen. This’ll be the last time in a year the Falcons will be favored by a TD (minus the extra). They won’t run like they did against the Lions, but the home field should help. Falcons cover, win by seven.
Oakland Raiders @ Buffalo Bills (-9.5): Last week we got to see the Darren McFadden Show. The problem is that they played the Chiefs, who have a team full of rookies. The Bills defense has been good. Real good. If they can stop the Jags running game, stopping D-Fad shouldn’t be a problem. 9.5 is high. Real high. But JaMarcus Russell’s 5-17 completion to attempts last week will look good after this one. Take the Bills to cover, when by two TD’s.
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans (-5): Kerry Collins was announced the starter over Vince Young this week, which led to a three day drinking binge. Thankfully, the Titans play defense and the Texans don’t play offense. I’m feeling something like 17-7. For those that need help, that’s 10 points. Titans cover, but jump on the under at 39.
Cincinnati Bengals @ NY Giants (-13): The Bengals look like that team of individuals that never plays as a team. Marvin’s gone after this year, Chad Johnson will be traded, Carson Palmer will find a new home, and the Bengals will start over. I’m getting somewhere: Take the Giants.
Arizona Cardinals (+3) @ Washington Redskins: Kurt Warner is looking like he did when he was slinging it in Mike Martz’s system. Washington looks as good as it did since Jim Zorn took over. That came out wrong. Beating New Orleans last week was nice. But the Cardinals are looking legitimate for the time in a decade. The points are nice, but ‘Zona wins straight up.
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-12): Even with Matt Cassel, do you want to bet against this team? If they can go to New York and win, they can win by two TD’s against the Dolphins. Ted Ginn, welcome to short-throw life with Chad Pennington.
Carolina Panthers (+3.5) @ Minnesota Vikings: Adrian Peterson is out. Steve Smith is back. One team’s 2-0, the other is 0-2. Something just doesn’t add up. I like the Vikes, too. But take the Panthers in this one.
St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks (-9): What do you do when you’ve got no receivers and your team is struggling? You schedule the Rams, just in the knick of time. ‘Hawks suck. But the Rams really are that bad. Seattle covers.
Detroit Lions @ San Francisco 49′ers (-4): You see the Lions offense and you want to bet on ‘em. Then you see John Kitna and his inability to not throw a thousand picks, and you kick back to your senses. Do I see another 21-0 deficit before the offense kicks in gear? I do. Niners cover.
New Orleans Saints @ Denver Broncos (-5): The Broncos are on pace to beat the Patriots scoring record from last season. We all know that won’t happen, but we’ll still be talking about that offense after Week 3. The Saints couldn’t stop Washington, who looked like that high school team coming together for the first time the week before when they played the Giants. This game has Lock of the Week written all over it, only there’s one more out there that’s better. Take the Broncos to win. Parlay it with the over, and you’ll be real happy.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+4) @ Philadelphia Eagles: I like the Eagles. They’re good. They’ve got a wide receiver that drops balls before he reaches the end zone and a running back that does everything by himself. On the other side, four points to Pittsburgh, who might be the best team in the AFC, is an awful lot. Newsflash, Philly: This defense is better than Dallas. You won’t see 80 points in this one, but you’ll see the Steelers cover.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts (-5): The Jags have never really been able to beat the Colts, and that’s when they’ve been good. Their run game stinks, their pass game is non-existent, and their offensive line continues to get hurt. If the Colts jump up early, Garrard is forced to throw against a cut throat defensive line. Me thinks last week will spark something for Peyton. Me thinks that’s really, really bad for Jacksonville. I never thought this team would start 0-3, but I just don’t see things looking up anytime soon.
Cleveland Browns (+2) @ Baltimore Ravens: Don’t jump the Ravens’ sack just because they shut down the Bengals. We’re seeing little by little that a lot of teams can do that. Cleveland’s in a hole, but they’ve played two of the best teams in football. Browns cover.
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers (+3): Three points when they’re playing at home? This has M-O-N-E-Y written all over it. It’s a Sunday Night game, and we all know how Romo does on national television. Packers win.
New York Jets (+9) @ San Diego Chargers: I’ve got no confidence in either of these teams, but the Chargers have burnt me two weeks in a row. Take the Jets.
-Lock of the Week
Tampa Bay Bucs @ Chicago Bears (-3): The Bears D is looking great. The Bucs have Brian Griese. Let’s put two and two together. Bears win 24-0.
Posted by Dave as NFL, Superbowl Quarterbacks at 9:43 AM CST on January 31st, 2007
If you haven’t been keeping up with this, you can find the other 29 quarterbacks right here. Anyway. Here they are.
3. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers: The youngest QB to ever win a Super Bowl. The only quarterback to be idiotic enough to ride motorcycles without a helmet. The only quarterback who can tackle a safety in the open field.
Sure, he didn’t have the best of years, but he’s pretty good in the postseason. A lot of people forget that he’s only a third year player. Hard to say you wouldn’t want him directing your team in the playoffs. Of course, after the string of injuries/wrecks/concussions, I have to wonder if his luck’s run out.
2. Tom Brady, Patriots: Okay, okay. I know. Everyone’s going to say they’d much rather have Tom Brady than Peyton in the playoffs, but. . . well, screw it. It’s my list. Peyton’s in the Super Bowl, and Tom Brady isn’t. Plus, I feel that a good bit of Brady’s success came from a very opportunistic defense, and a quite timely offense. Also: I know it’s only been two years, but Brady hasn’t won anything without Charlie Weis, and the Pats haven’t won anything without Romeo Crennel.
Not to mention, Tom Brady never led a team down the field to win a Super Bowl with a touchdown drive. A lot of the Pats’ success rode on the shoulders of Adam Vinatieri.
1. Peyton Manning, Colts: If he wins a Super Bowl, he might be called the greatest QB ever. He’s never had a very good defense, something that’s always hurt him. He had a drunken kicker who got cut less than a year later by the ‘Boys. He has a coach who’s known for collapsing in the playoffs. He’s got a rookie at running back (okay, that one was a stretch).
This game, I’m not sure Peyton will have to worry about choking. He’s playing Rex Grossman. If I’m the Colts, my gameplan is hand-off, hand-off, hand-off, punt. Bob Sanders interception, touchdown. Repeat.
Posted by Dave as NFL, Superbowl Quarterbacks at 12:21 PM CST on January 25th, 2007
Okay, the “Super Bowl Quarterbacks” series that I started when I was bored is almost at its end. For a list of the quarterbacks we’ve been through, go here. There’s seven QBs left, so today we’ll do four of ‘em, and then go to our last three, some time closer to the Super Bowl itself (which I still can’t believe Rex is a part of; I wish I could do some revising here — he was pretty damn low on my list).
7. Jake Delhomme, Panthers: He didn’t have the best numbers this year, but he also didn’t have the worst. But his 17 touchdowns and 11 picks was considered poor with the team he had around him. There were about twenty QBs better than this guy, but there’s not twenty better in the post season.

6. Jeff Garcia/DNabb, Eagles, maybe: I guess you can’t go wrong with either. One’s gotten you to four NFC title games and a Super Bowl, and the other went 6-2 as a starter and even got a spot on Leno. Now if Ms. McNabb can finally get her wholesome image back. . .
5. Carson Palmer, Bengals: Kind of hard to justify Carson being this high, since he’s only been in one playoff game, and that one playoff game he played, like, three snaps before the Steelers defense figured their best chance of victory was falling sideways into someone’s knee, tearing their ACL. That said, the guy’s a good quarterback, who’s unfortunately surrounded by thugs and convicts (see: the whole team), drunken drivers (see: Odell Thurman), and people caught on police tape puking out of the vehicle that was being driven by the drunken driver (see: Odell Thurman — again — and Chris Henry). So I think you can probably throw him a bone, and maybe understand his lack of playoff success.
4. Drew Brees, Saints: He’s a top quarterback in the league, and he played well in his first playoff game. That second one he completely shit the bed, but we’ll let that be in the past. I hate to say it, but the Saints are in for the long haul with all they’ve got, and it starts with Drew Brees.
Posted by Dave as NFL, Superbowl Quarterbacks at 12:45 PM CST on January 22nd, 2007

I got off track with this, but I’d like to finish it. I started it because I was bored one day and didn’t have much material to post, and now I feel it’s my duty to finish it off. If you haven’t seen it, these are the quarterbacks we’ve been through so far.
12. Marc Bulger, Rams: He’s kinda undercover, and hasn’t really been on the radar in the last couple of years. But he’s got the stats, and he’s got the talent around him. Stephen Jackson resembles a freakin’ rhino, and Tori Holt, as old as he may be getting, is one of the best receivers in the league. If the Rams can find any type of defense, Marc Bulger might get a shot to guide his team to a Super Bowl.
11. Tony Romo, Cowboys: He may have been higher up on the list, just because of sheer potential and likeability, but after watching the Seahawks game, it’s hard to argue for him. Something tells me whoever’s coaching the ‘Boys next year won’t have Romo as the holder with the game on the line.
10. Michael Vick, Falcons: He’s going to scare any defense. While not so elusive with airport security, he can avoid defenders like crazy. He might not have great stats, but he’s the one guy who can take a game over by himself.
9. Steve McNair, Ravens: I wish he woulda won a Super Bowl, but I think time is passing him by. He’s a great QB, but I have a feeling he’ll be most known for almost beating St. Louis, in what was the greatest Super Bowl I’ve ever seen.
8. Matt Hasslebeck, Seahawks: I’ve never thought he’s that great of a quarterback, but he’s been to a Super Bowl, and he’s had a pretty solid career. He’s kinda bland, and that’s why I really have nothing else that I can say about him. The most memorable thing he’s done came in a loss, when he won the toss against Green Bay in overtime, and said, “We’re gonna get the ball, and we’re gonna score.” Oops, Matt. That’s a Green Bay guy you threw to. And he just scored. That “calling the shot” thing didn’t work out too well, did it?
Posted by Dave as NFL, Superbowl Quarterbacks at 1:19 PM CST on January 16th, 2007
We continue on our journey. It’s been a long one. But with the Superbowl getting nearer and nearer, we need to make it to the final cut. It got a little tricky here: There were a few guys that really could’ve taken either spot, so I was asking my friends and getting their opinions. Through majority vote, I came up with the next five quarterbacks that I’d want guiding my team through the playoffs. Hope you enjoy.
17. Trent Green, Chiefs: I think his last playoff game exactly speaks volumes about how great he is in the playoffs. Not having a first down until the middle of the 3rd quarter is a bit. . . I don’t even know the word. It’s awful. Terrible. Horrible. Horrendous. Maybe that’s the best word. I feel sorry for him, too. It seems like everywhere this guy goes, a backup quarterback comes in and does a bang-up job. Can’t feel too sorry for him, though: I’d give my right arm for a night with his wife.
16. Eli Manning, Giants: He’s not a bad quarterback, but he sure is under the microscope a lot. He had a decent playoff game, but that defense needs to get better. And that coach needs to go, but that’ll be at least another year.
15. Vince Young, Titans: He’s the highest rated of the rookies, and why not? Sure, his numbers weren’t that great, but he won games. And lining up against this guy in the playoffs would be a scary thing to have to do.
14. Phillip Rivers, Chargers: His play would have merited a win against the Patriots, if it wasn’t for his receivers not catching the ball and the rest of the team catching a case of fumble-itus. Wrong time of the season to come down with a case of that. He wasn’t perfect, no, but he made minimal mistakes against a proven playoff winner. And he also had Marty coaching, so being cursed in the playoffs doesn’t exactly help you out.
13. Chad Pennington, Jets: He may not have a deep ball, but he’s a smart QB. He threw for over three-hundred yards against the Patriots, but the Jets D just couldn’t keep up. I think when he gets some more offensive options, like a tight end and a running back that are real, the Jets will be constant Superbowl contenders. Mangini can coach, plain and simple. And eat.
Posted by Dave as NFL, Superbowl Quarterbacks at 3:49 PM CST on January 12th, 2007

What quarterback would you want taking you to the Superbowl? Well, we’ve been through the ten you probably wouldn’t, and now it’s time to push ourselves up this list.
These five QBs are: QB’s that have the potential to be very, very dangerous.
22. David Garrard, Jaguars: He doesn’t do a whole lot, but he doesn’t turn it over much. Not that it really matters, though, because it seems that every year the Jags come up just short of having a good season.
21. Rex Grossman, Bears: This guy can be a really good QB. That’s if he eventually accepts that ten yard passes are cool, and you don’t have to throw the ball 70 yards every time to be considered a badass. Tomorrow night will be telling. I have money riding on the Bears, so hopefully it’s telling in a good way.
20. Alex Smith, 49′ers: He had his ups and downs, and ended the season right at par: 17 touchdowns, 17 picks. I like Alex Smith, I like Frank Gore, and I like Vernon Davis (total stud; complete stud). If the ‘9ers get a defense, they could make some noise in ‘07.
19. JP Losman, Bills: He’s been under the radar, and had a very good but very quiet season. When the Bills first drafted this guy, I thought they were friggin’ insane. And after watching him his first year, I thought they were even more insane for sticking with him. He threw 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions this year, making their draft pick three years ago look like a pretty good one now.
18. Brett Favre, Packers: I only put him this high because my email would be flooded with hate messages if I had him any worse. But let’s be honest: The guy throws way too many picks. And I don’t care if he has a Superbowl. If it came right down to it today, I’m not sure you’d feel too comfortable about your team if he was starting against a playoff level defense.
Posted by Dave as NFL, Superbowl Quarterbacks at 2:24 PM CST on January 10th, 2007
As promised, I will continue up the list of QB’s you’d most want directing your team towards the Superbowl. Last week, we mentioned the five we definitely wouldn’t want, in order from horrible-to-not-quite-as-horrible: Andrew Walter (it was a rough spot, but the stats don’t lie), Joey Harrington, Charlie Frye, Bruce Gradkowski and David Carr. Those QB’s fell under the category of “God Awful Quarterbacks You Only Want Starting For Your Team If You’re Playing For A Draft Pick.” The quarterbacks this week we’ll refer to as:
These Guys Didn’t Have The Greatest Season But Maybe They Could Be Really Good
Sorry, I like long titles. Here’s the next five on the list.
27. Jason Campbell, Redskins: He turned it on a little at the end of the year, and the slow start can probably be more attributed to Joe Gibbs’ old-ass style of offense than to Campbell’s lack of experience. I think under the right offensive system, this kid (actually, he’s probably a grown man now) can really blossom.
26. John Kitna, Lions: Funny we’re having a conversation about Superbowls and mentioning the Lions. John Kitna isn’t a bad QB, though, and if he played on a team with a GM that had a vision and direction, he may be higher up the list. The Lions had three losses where they piled on more than 24 points, and one loss where they put on more than 30 points. At some point, Matt Millen, you need to start drafting some defense, unless you have a plan to put Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson — who we all know you’re picking — at corner.
25. Brad Johnson, Vikings: He should probably be higher up the list, given the terrible year he had, but I’ll let some of it slide since Brad Childress looks more like a porn star than he does a head coach. That would be pretty distracting for me. “Yo, Coach Peter North. . .”
24. Jay Cutler, Broncos: He’ll be good, but Shannahan put him in a tricky spot. For one, he started in the thick of a playoff race, and number two, he had been tutored and taught by Jake Plummer. I think a few interceptions and choke-jobs are the norm.
23. Matt Leinart, Cardinals: It pains me to put him here, because I’ve never been a big fan. But he did well. . . well enough with the offensive line he had, anyway. This team will be a trendy playoff pick next year, like they have been the last three years. I’d like to have a contest to see who the more miserable fan is: Arizona Fan or Detroit Fan (one drafts the talent it should but can’t do anything with it, and the other has a serious fixation for wide receivers).
The next five spots will be posted in the next couple of days. For all you Michael Vick haters, I’m not going to have him as my number one quarterback, so you know. Now you can breathe easier.
Posted by Dave as NFL, Superbowl Quarterbacks at 8:44 PM CST on January 7th, 2007
Okay. With the playoffs here, I’m putting together the top quaterbacks you’d want to have if your team was in the playoffs. We’ll start at the bottom and make our way up to the top. I’m sure a lot of you won’t agree with my picks — I’ll just tell you now, Tom Brady won’t be number one — and you’re free to give your own opinion. It’s just if I was a coach, this is who I’d want directing my team. Since we’re starting today at the bottom of the list, these are the fives guys I probably wouldn’t want guiding my team. Tonight, we start with our first segment, also known as the:
32. Andrew Walter, Raiders: This spot would normally be filled by Aaron Brooks, but since he was yanked and Walter was put in, it has to be him. It’s a shame, too, because he’s a young kid who might one day be good. But 3 touchdowns and 13 interceptions is inexcusable, especially when you have Randy Moss, even if he was taking 90% of the plays off.
31. Joey Harrington, Dolphins: Poor guy. I’ve always rooted for him, but now I’ve got to find some humor in just how bad he is. He looked like he had turned the corner a little at the beginning of the year, but then he went back to being the Joey Harrington everyone knew and loved in Detroit: An absolute machine at throwing incompletions and interceptions. I don’t think you could really ask this guy to win you a playoff game. I think just getting there with him as a starter is enough of a feat.
30. Charlie Frye, Browns: Don’t frown, Charlie Brown. That is, unless your stats say you threw 10 TDs and 17 picks this year, with weapons like Braylon Edwards at wide receiver and The Soldier at tight end — he is, after all, the best tight end in the game (just ask him). This was supposed to be Charlie’s breakout year, but he had other plans. I’m hoping — no, praying — that this isn’t the guy who will be throwing to Calvin Johnson next year.
29. Bruce Gradkowski, Bucs: This is a harsh rating, putting him up there with the Joey Harringtons and Charlie Fryes of the world, but I didn’t have much other choice. For a rookie, he didn’t perform too terribly: He had 9 touchdowns and 9 picks, which isn’t that shabby, especially considering what he was throwing to — 95 year-old Joey Galloway and. . . yeah, 95 year-old Joey Galloway.
28.) David Carr, Texans: Sooner than later, this team has got to let go. Andre Johnson was healthy this year and put up beastly numbers, but Carr seemed to miss that bus. He had more picks than touchdowns in a year where it looked like he was going to be decent. He started the year as the league’s leading passer, but then decided to fall the hell off. The Texans should have just thrown the year and drafted Brady Quinn or JaMarcus Russell. Of course, having high picks in Texas doesn’t mean drafting the players everyone knows they should.
I’ll have my next five QB’s posted in the next few days. Not sure when, but I’m going to try and string this thing out through the entire playoffs. Feel free to comment.